
Resolved No on 29 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.5%. Yes opened at 11% on 27 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Jun 2026 to 29 Jun 2026, the highest close was 34.5% on 28 Jun 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 2.5% on 29 Jun 2026. $4.37K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 30, 8:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Jun 2026 – 29 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2026 | 11.0% |
| 29 Jun 2026 | 2.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 99.95 |
| justmeandme | Yes | 62 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| paseorabbit | Yes | 46.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 29?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-june-29-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| menthe2 | Yes | 24.99 |
| L.X | Yes | 20 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Azoh | Yes | 10 |
| Ironclad-Adulthood-Preface | Yes | 10 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |