Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93.5%. Yes opened at 89% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 13 Jul 2026, the highest close was 93.5% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 85.5% on 12 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8 points up, to 93.5% on 13 Jul 2026. $11.9K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 7:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 13 Jul 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 89.0% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 93.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dearest-Realm | No | 6.01K |
| Raketa09 | No | 1K |
| Voidofhype | No | 181.67 |
| Rough-Forecast | No | 110.56 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 13?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-july-13-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | No | 42.43 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
