S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 4?

Resolved

No, settled May 4, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.0K

Resolved

Settled

May 4, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 2 May 2026 to 4 May 2026, the highest close was 3.5% on 3 May 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 4 May 2026. $1.02K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 5, 6:56 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 May 2026 – 4 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
2 May 2026	2.5%
4 May 2026	1.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
TENETENET	Yes	100
.Menthe	Yes	50
triklozoid	Yes	50
Mojito9	Yes	10

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

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