Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 21%. Yes opened at 41% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 27 Jul 2026, the highest close was 79% on 27 Jul 2026 and the lowest 41% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 79% on 27 Jul 2026. $16.01K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 41.0% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 79.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Worse-Anteater | Yes | 120.88 |
| PPMT | Yes | 60 |
| nonsports | Yes | 29.16 |
| gr1221y | Yes | 23.58 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 27?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-july-27-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Anony777 | Yes | 19.94 |
| ebo23 | Yes | 18 |
| asherno | Yes | 5.4 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 0.01 |
