Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 89.5%. Yes opened at 74% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 27 Jul 2026, the highest close was 89.5% on 27 Jul 2026 and the lowest 74% on 25 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 86.5% on 26 Jul 2026. $7K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 8:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026, chart shows 70%–95%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 74.0% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 89.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rough-Forecast | No | 150 |
| 196874353278 | No | 122.26 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 27?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-july-27-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| PPMT | No | 29.88 |
| hotbot | No | 20 |
| triklozoid | No | 20 |
| Lavincey | No | 10 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
