Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.1%. Yes opened at 89.5% on 13 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 13 Jun 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 98.1% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 77% on 14 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 98.1% on 15 Jun 2026. $3.16K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 7:50 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 13 Jun 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jun 2026 | 89.5% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 98.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| stakeon | No | 599.95 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| paseorabbit | No | 74.7 |
| baummark1 | No | 59.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-june-15-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| hesure | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
