Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 93%. Yes opened at 89.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 27 Jul 2026, the highest close was 93% on 27 Jul 2026 and the lowest 77% on 26 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 93% on 27 Jul 2026. $8.82K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 28, 8:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 27 Jul 2026, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 89.5% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | 93.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rough-Forecast | No | 529.24 |
| 196874353278 | No | 287 |
| jjjjjsda | No | 199.99 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on July 27?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-july-27-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Substantial-Hallway | No | 38.09 |
| PPMT | No | 30.03 |
| guge22 | No | 20 |
| triklozoid | No | 20 |
| hesure | No | 16 |
