Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.1%. Yes opened at 90% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 90.1% on 3 Aug 2026 and the low 89% on 2 Aug 2026. $533.44 traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 4, 5:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 1 Aug 2026 – 3 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 84%–96%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 90.0% |
| 3 Aug 2026 | 90.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| cool.keith | No | 43.57 |
| triklozoid | No | 20 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 4.99 |
| olegs | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 3?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-august-3-2026
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