
Resolved Yes on 18 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 95.9% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 18 May 2026, the highest close was 97.7% on 18 May 2026 and the lowest 95.9% on 16 May 2026. $2.69K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 7:16 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 16 May 2026 – 18 May 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 95.9% |
| 18 May 2026 | 97.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gargantuan-Insolence | No | 144.66 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| olekslie | No | 100 |
| hesure | No | 66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 18?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-18-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| Mojito9 | No | 11.02 |
| wwder | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |