Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 95.5% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.5% on 3 Aug 2026 and the low 95.5% on 1 Aug 2026. $20.25K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 4, 5:15 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 1 Aug 2026 – 3 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 95.5% |
| 3 Aug 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Foolish-Cone | No | 20K |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| cool.keith | No | 47.03 |
| triklozoid | No | 20 |
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on August 3?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-august-3-2026
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