
Resolved No on 27 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80%. Yes opened at 21% on 25 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2026 to 27 Apr 2026, the highest close was 21% on 25 Apr 2026 and the lowest 20% on 27 Apr 2026. $5.48K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 9:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Apr 2026 – 27 Apr 2026, chart shows 14%–26%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 21.0% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | 20.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xJasonSan | Yes | 1.3K |
| gotozer0 | Yes | 288.72 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 48.11 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 27?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-april-27-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Emerald Harbor BC47 | Yes | 44.06 |
| Colala | Yes | 29.94 |
| Zealous-Macadamia | Yes | 24.2 |
| fxcat | Yes | 22.48 |
| Cosmic Scout F406 | Yes | 20.39 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |