
Resolved Yes on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 96.7% on 9 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.7% on 11 May 2026 and the low 96.7% on 9 May 2026. $1.06K traded over the market's life.
10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 3:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 9 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 May 2026 | 96.7% |
| 11 May 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lost-Meatball | No | 148.87 |
| TENETENET | No | 99.99 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 50 |
| Thick-Spiral | No | 37.74 |
| davidadamshirley | No | 29.33 |
| Mojito9 | No | 10 |
| Illustrious-Holder | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| nc3iceibvtvetvbt | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-11-2026
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