Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 68%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 25 Apr 2026 to 27 Apr 2026, the highest close was 68% on 27 Apr 2026 and the lowest 49% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 68% on 27 Apr 2026. $3.77K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Apr 2026 – 27 Apr 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | 68.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0xJasonSan | No | 1.73K |
| hesure | No | 33 |
| Grandiose-Layer | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 27?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-april-27-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Weepy-Item | No | 5 |
