Analytics
Resolved Yes on 4 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.6%. Yes opened at 96.8% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 2 May 2026 to 4 May 2026, the highest close was 98.6% on 4 May 2026 and the lowest 96.8% on 2 May 2026. $1.02K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 5, 10:06 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 2 May 2026 – 4 May 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 96.8% |
| 4 May 2026 | 98.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| triklozoid | No | 49.99 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | No | 4.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 4?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spy-closes-above-on-may-4-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
