
Resolved Up on 19 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Up at 68.5%. The Up side opened at 37% on 17 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 68.5% on 19 Oct 2026 and the low 37% on 17 Oct 2026. $164.02K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 20, 9:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | 37.0% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | 68.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| CamelUp | Down | 94.66K |
| shaillakhani | Down | 4.04K |
| rip | Down | 4K |
| GTGroup | Down | 3.85K |
| rkreddyzoomin | Down | 2.52K |
| grasstoucher69 | Down | 2.27K |
| tsanyin | Down | 650 |
| Ultimatetrader69 | Down | 576.58 |
| dave12345 | Down | 500 |
| hakhdn | Down | 427.79 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, October 19, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, October 19, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spx-up-or-down-on-october-19-2026
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