
Trading is closed with the Up side last at 100%; no result has been reported.
Across 20 price reads from 26 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC to 27 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC, the highest read was 100% on 27 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC and the lowest 32% on 27 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
$5.41K has traded since listing.
The largest Up position is frankiewave with 1K shares; the largest Down position is ytho with 1.8K. Ten wallets hold 89.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 8:43 PM UTC
Hourly closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 26 Oct, 21:00 UTC – 27 Oct, 19:00 UTC
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct, 21:00 UTC | 50.0% |
| 27 Oct, 19:00 UTC | 100.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ytho | Down | 1.82K |
| frankiewave | Up | 1.01K |
| DrawResult | Up | 592 |
| jajsnsksk | Up | 588.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 27 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 27 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spx-opens-up-or-down-on-october-27-2026
| DMC001 | Up | 392.48 |
| grasstoucher69 | Down | 317.45 |
| PBot-10 | Up | 292.96 |
| canupdatelateron | Down | 200 |
| trenches2026 | Down | 188.27 |
| absolutelynoclue | Down | 136.12 |
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