
Resolved Yes on 28 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80%. Yes opened at 72.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 8 Jan 2026 to 28 Jan 2026, the highest close was 96.5% on 14 Jan 2026 and the lowest 24% on 26 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 61.8% on 27 Jan 2026. $22.21K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 30, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 28 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 72.5% |
| 28 Jan 2026 | 80.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | No | 1K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 578 |
| alilili1 | No | 500 |
| greenbeat | No | 477.79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of January 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spx-hit-jan-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 348 |
| treyuu | No | 293.07 |
| pxigk | No | 257.28 |
| ttj01 | No | 250 |
| amn123465 | No | 244 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 192 |