Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.7%. Yes opened at 54% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.7% on 9 Jan 2026 and the low 54% on 8 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 99.7% on 9 Jan 2026. $10.17K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 16, 8:18 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 8 Jan 2026 – 9 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 54.0% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | 99.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | No | 541 |
| TENETENET | No | 500 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 387 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | No | 268 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | No | 182 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | No | 103 |
| Deafening-Possible | No | 100 |
| t189 | No | 50 |
| tiancs | No | 50 |
| triklozoid | No | 14.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of January 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spx-hit-jan-2026
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