Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 1.5% on 8 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46.9% on 9 Jan 2026 and the low 0.3% on 31 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 46.9% on 9 Jan 2026. $4.16K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 8:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 24 points · 8 Jan 2026 – 31 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 1.5% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 301 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 261 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 247 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 220 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 197 |
| qiangqiang | Yes | 186.44 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
| decisionfirst | Yes | 132.08 |
| kukubaa | Yes | 125.19 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of January 2026?
Resolution source: https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spx-hit-jan-2026
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