Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 16 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 1 Feb 2026 and the low 19% on 11 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 23% on 9 Feb 2026. $34.5K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 14, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 28 points · 16 Jan 2026 – 12 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | 48.5% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | 19.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mountalba | Yes | 1.08K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 407.25 |
| ElInesperado | Yes | 400 |
| Arbga2026 | Yes | 289 |
| Lunar Raven 21B1 | Yes | 264.4 |
| Kvitrafn | Yes | 199.67 |
| Windy-Marsh | Yes | 163 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 103.5 |
| Repulsive-Routine | Yes | 100 |
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Thursday, February 12, 2026 between Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club and NEOM SC.
Resolution source: https://www.slstat.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spl-qad-neo-2026-02-12
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