
Resolved Yes on 6 Jun 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 83%. Yes opened at 73% on 4 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2024 to 6 Jun 2024, the highest close was 83% on 6 Jun 2024 and the lowest 73% on 4 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 81.5% on 5 Jun 2024. $8.78K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 7, 2:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Jun 2024 – 6 Jun 2024, chart shows 70%–85%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2024 | 73.0% |
| 6 Jun 2024 | 83.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-launch-by-thursday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page