Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81.5%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 14 Feb 2024. Before it settled, the high was 81.5% on 14 Mar 2024 and the low 20.5% on 4 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 73% on 7 Mar 2024. $38.63K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 30 points · 14 Feb 2024 – 14 Mar 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2024 | 63.5% |
| 14 Mar 2024 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Thallium | No | 1.92K |
| Head | No | 444.85 |
| MatiasD | Yes | 156.25 |
| BeanieApe | No | 0.03 |
| OneMoneyPlz | Yes | 0.02 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
If any Starship successfully launches from its launchpad between February 13, 2023, and March 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g. an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Starship with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-launch-by-march-15
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