Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.9%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 23 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 12 Jun 2026, the highest close was 4.5% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 31 May 2026. $212.68K traded over the market's life.
80 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 10:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 21 May 2026 – 12 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 4.5% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 2.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| m12923 | Yes | 13.16K |
| larrym8 | Yes | 12.02K |
| Kneel2NEIL | Yes | 8.01K |
| Honky | Yes | 6.23K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-market-cap-above
| Karterb | Yes | 5.69K |
| Calm-Examination | Yes | 5.19K |
| stockfinding | Yes | 3.35K |
| theprofit67 | Yes | 3.31K |
| DomPrincess | Yes | 3.03K |
| Hasty-Dome | Yes | 2.44K |
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