Analytics
Resolved Down on 2 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Down at 73.5%. The Up side opened at 36.5% on 2 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 30 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 2 Aug 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 60.5% on 9 Jul 2026 and the lowest 19% on 28 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 59.5% on 6 Jul 2026. $152.58 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 3, 11:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 30 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 2 Aug 2026
| Observed | Up price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 36.5% |
| 2 Aug 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocketcrypto | Up | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | Up | 5 |
| Mojito9 | Up | 2.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Up” if SpaceX's (SPCX) closing share price on the last trading day of July 2026 is greater than or equal to its closing share price on the last trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “Down.” The official closing price as listed by the primary exchange will be considered the closing share price for the purposes of this market. The IPO offer price, or the price of any transaction not on the primary exchange, will not count for resolution of this market. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on either specified day of SpaceX trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published for either specified day, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the specified day for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-closing-price-updown-end-of-july-20260630212930798
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