Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 45% on 9 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 146 daily closes on record from 9 Aug 2024 to 1 Jan 2025, the highest close was 45% on 9 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 22% on 10 Aug 2024. $36.1K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 12:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 146 points, 9 Aug 2024 – 1 Jan 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Aug 2024 | 45.0% |
| 1 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.98K |
| kingfisher | Yes | 1.4K |
| St-Qc | Yes | 286.15 |
Who will replace Larry Fink as BlackRock CEO?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-larry-fink-as-blackrock-ceo
| Yes |
| 274.99 |
| Optimal-Chap | Yes | 68.33 |
| Winterwind | Yes | 40 |
| anonlowden | Yes | 38.5 |
| Lucsas | Yes | 38.46 |
| lilnicolas | Yes | 20 |
| Solar Scout 626F | Yes | 17.19 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
