Analytics
Resolved Lugano on 2 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lugano at 59%. The Lugano side opened at 50% on 27 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 27 Sep 2026 to 2 Oct 2026, the highest close was 59% on 2 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 27 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points up, to 58.5% on 30 Sep 2026. $1.51K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 6:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Lugano price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Sep 2026 – 2 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–65%
| Observed | Lugano price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 59.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ericgoalgoat | Rapperswil Jona Lakers | 1.11K |
| gagarin59 | Rapperswil Jona Lakers | 110 |
| egmund | Rapperswil Jona Lakers | 40.54 |
| UpTheBlues | Rapperswil Jona Lakers |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming NL game, scheduled for 2026-10-02: If Lugano win, the market will resolve to "Lugano". If Rapperswil-Jona Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Rapperswil-Jona Lakers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/snhl-lug-rap-2026-10-02
New to prediction markets?
| 13 |
| mathacewa | Rapperswil Jona Lakers | 10 |
| rspeter | Rapperswil Jona Lakers | 2.7 |
| sportsw1zard | Rapperswil Jona Lakers | 1.56 |
