Analytics
Resolved Lausanne on 28 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lausanne at 43%. The Lugano side opened at 51% on 23 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 23 Feb 2026 to 28 Feb 2026, the highest close was 57% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 50% on 26 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points up, to 57% on 28 Feb 2026. $86.46 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 12:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Lugano price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 23 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Lugano price |
|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | 51.0% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 57.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| cesarcc | Lugano | 62.71 |
| Lunar Meteor E221 | Lugano | 1.86 |
| ellen-joe | Lausanne | 1.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Swiss National League game, scheduled for 2026-02-28: If Lugano win, the market will resolve to "Lugano". If Lausanne win, the market will resolve to "Lausanne". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.nationalleague.ch/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/snhl-lug-lau-2026-02-28
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