Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 19 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 106 daily closes on record from 19 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 40% on 19 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 8.5% on 20 Sep 2025. $10.61K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 106 points, 19 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2025 | 40.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 269 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 254 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is no longer host of their respective show for any length of time between September 18, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of this person's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. If the owning network or its parent company announces the show that the listed person hosts is cancelled within timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed person or the owning network of the show that they host, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/late-show-hosts-cancelled-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 145 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 90 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 61 |
| oliman2 | Yes | 47 |
| Owwwnn | Yes | 46.09 |
| Blaorra | Yes | 42.65 |
| luuuur | Yes | 42 |
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