September temperature increase by less than 1.17°C?

Resolved

No, settled Oct 21, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$582.2K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 21, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8% on 11 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 11 Sep 2024 to 21 Oct 2024, the highest close was 8% on 11 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Oct 2024. $582.25K traded over the market's life.

35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 6:01 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 11 Sep 2024 – 21 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
11 Sep 2024	8.0%
21 Oct 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	394.25K
2024AD	Yes	2.29K
moldo	Yes	1.46K
usernametakens	Yes	500

10 of 35 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules