Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 25% on 11 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 11 Sep 2024 to 21 Oct 2024, the highest close was 44.5% on 23 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.7% on 20 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 15.5% on 18 Oct 2024. $225.61K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 22, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 11 Sep 2024 – 21 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2024 | 25.0% |
| 21 Oct 2024 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 394.25K |
| ValKe | No | 14.57 |
| bobz-185 | Yes | 10 |
| babi | Yes | 0.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
September 2024 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/september-2024-temperature-increase-c
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Well-Documented-Timeout | Yes | 0.1 |
| Catbunny | Yes | 0.05 |
| imu | Yes | 0.03 |
| qw4fwq4g | Yes | 0.02 |
| 7hhhjy | Yes | 0.02 |
| 2wgerqwgt42q43g | Yes | 0.02 |
