Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.6%. Yes opened at 88.5% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, the high was 92.5% on 6 Apr 2025 and the low 1.6% on 24 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 55 points down, to 17.9% on 15 Jan 2026. $30.21K traded over the market's life.
166 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 345 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 28 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 88.5% |
| 28 Feb 2026 | 4.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Scout 6A3C | Yes | 1K |
| Gdub | Yes | 371.57 |
| Royal Signal FAC0 | Yes | 360.51 |
On March 17, sitting Minnesota State Senator Justin Eichorn was arrested for allegedly soliciting sex from a 16 year old. You can read more about that here: https://minnesotareformer.com/2025/03/18/gop-state-sen-justin-eichorn-arrested-for-suspicion-of-soliciting-sex-with-a-16-year-old-girl/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eichorn is found guilty on any charge relating to soliciting a minor sexual activity in this case by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Eichorn is never charged with soliciting a minor for sexual activity in this case, or otherwise all charges related to soliciting a minor for sexual activity in this case are dismissed, end due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, or if a mistrial is declared for the relevant charges, this market will resolve to "No". If all solicitation of a minor charges dismissed at any point, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the initial judgment rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be an official judgement delivered by the ruling court; however, other credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/senator-eichorn-guilty-of-soliciting-a-child
| Swift Lynx 808F | Yes | 274 |
| Cobalt Falcon 61F9 | Yes | 263.15 |
| ttj01 | Yes | 249.99 |
| power1337 | Yes | 243.31 |
| Violet Harbor 7EF9 | Yes | 216 |
| Jade Atlas 8A5B | Yes | 195 |
| Tijojo | Yes | 174.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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