Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 30% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026, the highest close was 30% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 28% on 9 Mar 2026.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 30.0% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mortewfenloin | Yes | 9.91K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 1.45K |
| tradingl | Yes | 1.4K |
| Crushing-Rule | Yes | 1.4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.19K |
| zjc777 | Yes | 1K |
| najada | Yes | 682.73 |
| 50based | Yes | 300 |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 266.23 |
| superbob123 | Yes | 142.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 15, 2026 between Hellas Verona FC and Genoa CFC.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-ver-gen-2026-03-15
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