
Resolved No on 15 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68.5%. Yes opened at 30.5% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 15 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 32% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 30.5% on 3 Mar 2026.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 3:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 15 Mar 2026, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 30.5% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.19K |
| er7udfijk549r0weuifds | Yes | 700 |
| tradingl | Yes | 657.89 |
| STARMOON474 | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 15, 2026 between Hellas Verona FC and Genoa CFC.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-ver-gen-2026-03-15
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| Crushing-Rule | Yes | 300 |
| maleniaa | Yes | 183 |
| foooool | Yes | 169.14 |
| CorellianCoder | Yes | 103.64 |
| GbushiCshuo | Yes | 100.47 |
| Punctual-Ironclad | Yes | 100 |