
Resolved No on 2 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 70.5%. Yes opened at 45% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 45% on 19 Apr 2026 and the low 28% on 20 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 28% on 20 Apr 2026. $27.53K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 3, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 14 points · 19 Apr 2026 – 2 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 20%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 45.0% |
| 2 May 2026 | 29.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Beacon 1187 | Yes | 6.52K |
| mortewfenloin | Yes | 3.88K |
| delpiero10 | Yes | 502.84 |
| STARMOON474 | Yes | 500 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 247.78 |
| Po1yamory | Yes | 153.79 |
| musicworm | Yes | 100 |
| riccopong | Yes | 97 |
| wocaop | Yes | 90.91 |
| Violet Orbit 6DCC | Yes | 83.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, May 2, 2026 between Udinese Calcio and Torino FC.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-udi-tor-2026-05-02
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