Analytics
“Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-08-22?” is a prediction market on Polymarket with two tradeable outcomes, Yes and No. It belongs to the event “Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio”. The Yes price is the crowd's implied probability that the question resolves Yes; every trade on the public order book moves it.
The venue reports this market as closed. Its scheduled close is Aug 22, 2026. No resolved outcome is inferred from a closed or suspended state.
Vultax observes this market from Polymarket's public order book and data API and keeps its own record: 14 hourly price points from Aug 9, 2026 to Aug 22, 2026 (Yes between 29.5% and 33.0%); 40 loaded holder wallets, the largest ten holding 98.2% of the loaded shares; 340 recent public fills from 153 wallets. Each figure carries its observation time; nothing here is a return forecast.
No current true-OI row has been classified for this market yet.
Source evidence is resolution/evidence inventory, not creator identity.
Depth is a current/pilot snapshot, not full historical orderbook persistence.
Nine stops, one per figure on this page. Each stop says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads right now for this market.
Each outcome trades as a share that pays $1 if it wins and nothing if it loses. Prices are quoted in cents, and Yes plus No add up to about one dollar.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Saturday, August 22, 2026 between Parma Calcio 1913 and Cagliari Calcio.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-par-cag-2026-08-22-cag
The Yes price read as a chance. A share at 21.5¢ means the crowd gives Yes about a 21.5% chance right now. It moves with every trade, so it is a live forecast, not a verdict.
Dollar value of shares that changed hands in the last 24 hours. High volume means the price is being tested by real money; low volume means a few trades can move it.
Dollars resting in the order book, waiting to be traded against. Deep liquidity lets a large order fill near the quoted price; thin liquidity means the price jumps when someone trades size.
The gap between the best bid and the best ask. A tight spread makes entry and exit cheap; a wide spread is a cost paid on every round trip.
The wallets holding the most shares on each side, and how much of the loaded sample the largest ten control. Concentration shows whether a market is a crowd or a handful of large positions.
The public fills, newest first: which wallet bought or sold which outcome, at what price, and when. It is the market's own diary, and every wallet on it links to a trader profile.
Hourly closes of the Yes price. The range shows how sure or split the crowd has been; the move shows which way it has been changing its mind.
Trading stops at the close time. The outcome is then settled by the resolution source named in the rules. A closed market is not resolved until the venue reports it, so the two states are shown separately.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tikstt | No | 37.31K |
| mortewfenloin | No | 2.94K |
| LaarsY | No | 1.5K |
| Parallel-Trader | No | 999.96 |
| mikesports | No | 898.77 |
| qrup | No | 470 |
| Jarod21 | No | 307.35 |
| foooool | No | 291.17 |
| jouu | No | 240 |
| naohhm137 | No | 144.93 |