Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 71.5%. Yes opened at 34.5% on 16 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 34.5% on 16 Sep 2025 and the low 28.5% on 28 Sep 2025. $297K traded over the market's life.
111 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 30, 12:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 16 Sep 2025 – 28 Sep 2025, chart shows 25%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2025 | 34.5% |
| 28 Sep 2025 | 28.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| XXX111XXX | Yes | 109.36K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 22.94K |
| CrazyNine | Yes | 9.5K |
| footballmoneymaker | Yes | 4.4K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 4.05K |
| Alexrak | Yes | 2.86K |
| tsma | Yes | 1.71K |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 1.61K |
| BygoneGloom | Yes | 1.11K |
| Anonymous12321 | Yes | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming SEA game, scheduled for September 28 at 2:45PM ET, If Napoli wins, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Napoli loses, this market will resolve to “No”. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve “No”. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-mil-nap-2025-09-28
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