
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 47% on 3 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 3 Mar 2026 to 16 Mar 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 15 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 16 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points down, to 0.1% on 16 Mar 2026.
356 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 12:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 3 Mar 2026 – 16 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | 47.0% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 15, 2026 between SS Lazio and AC Milan.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-laz-mil-2026-03-15
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