Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 41.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 4 Apr 2026, the highest close was 51.5% on 29 Mar 2026 and the lowest 41.5% on 4 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 41.5% on 4 Apr 2026. $149.43 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 6, 10:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 4 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 4 Apr 2026 | 41.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Summit E2BF | No | 10.58 |
| flexer78 | No | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming Serie A game between FC Internazionale Milano and AS Roma, scheduled for April 5, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marcus Thuram is credited with a goal in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-int-rom-2026-04-05-player-props
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
