Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 36%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 17 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2025 to 29 Sep 2025, the highest close was 44% on 19 Sep 2025 and the lowest 36% on 29 Sep 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 38.5% on 22 Sep 2025. $215.61K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 12:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 17 Sep 2025 – 29 Sep 2025, chart shows 30%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2025 | 43.5% |
| 29 Sep 2025 | 36.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SpartanWar | No | 3.29K |
| 0010001000001100 | No | 2.79K |
| FragMalDenRalle | No | 999.86 |
| Fearless-Wrench | No | 984.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming SEA game, scheduled for September 29 at 2:45PM ET between Genoa and Lazio.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/en
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-gen-laz-2025-09-29
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