Analytics
Resolved No on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 81.5%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 2 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 2 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 18.5% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 16.5% on 2 Mar 2026.
133 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 5:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 2 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2026 | 16.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 18.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.28K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Yes | 3.05K |
| Cannae | Yes | 2.84K |
| xiaozixiao | Yes | 1.67K |
| Lilybaeum | Yes | 1.24K |
| LynxTitan | Yes | 751.49 |
| Stark22 | Yes | 700 |
| JuanFerCarbaLama | Yes | 625 |
| Tfntfn | Yes | 500 |
| Popular-Foam | Yes | 500 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026 between ACF Fiorentina and Parma Calcio 1913.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-fio-par-2026-03-08
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