
Resolved Yes on 8 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 26.5%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 1 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 1 Mar 2026 to 8 Mar 2026, the highest close was 26.5% on 3 Mar 2026 and the lowest 25.5% on 1 Mar 2026.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 9, 6:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 1 Mar 2026 – 8 Mar 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | 25.5% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cannae | No | 9.8K |
| Biyinggogogo | No | 6.23K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.28K |
| Dan1el2.5 | No | 674.32 |
| Avarice31 | No | 550 |
| Lilybaeum | No | 434.55 |
| notJaneStreet | No | 80 |
| ArbitrageFund | No | 74 |
| charles366 | No | 70 |
| MEV-PM | No | 64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026 between ACF Fiorentina and Parma Calcio 1913.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-fio-par-2026-03-08
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