
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 68.5%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 10 daily closes on record from 10 Mar 2026 to 22 Mar 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 10 Mar 2026 and the lowest 23.5% on 13 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 37% on 11 Mar 2026.
71 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 6:43 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 10 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 48.5% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 31.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| amused85 | Yes | 4.99K |
| xhisaidhwaih80921dhxmtest1 | Yes | 1.44K |
| Cannae | Yes | 1.42K |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 1.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Bologna FC 1909 and SS Lazio.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-bol-laz-2026-03-22
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| LynxTitan | Yes | 422.83 |
| FFFFF | Yes | 199.24 |
| Punisher2022 | Yes | 163.91 |
| JTAVIG | Yes | 107.4 |
| Self-Reliant-Cockpit | Yes | 103.08 |