
Resolved No on 22 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 80.5%. Yes opened at 28% on 10 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 34% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 19.5% on 18 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 34% on 11 Mar 2026.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 23, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 10 Mar 2026 – 22 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 15%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Mar 2026 | 28.0% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.24K |
| Rabble99 | Yes | 1.3K |
| Dreary-Caterpillar | Yes | 999.98 |
| knedloveprovelo | Yes | 987.66 |
| zhoudada | Yes | 318 |
| GbushiCshuo | Yes | 219.98 |
| madtingz | Yes | 207.95 |
| bbnbn | Yes | 189.62 |
| Cannae | Yes | 162.88 |
| ITmachine | Yes | 73.08 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Atalanta BC and Hellas Verona FC.
Resolution source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sea-ata-ver-2026-03-22
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