Analytics
Resolved Yes on 28 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 94% on 26 Nov 2024. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 28 Jan 2025 and the low 92.5% on 1 Dec 2024. $148.61K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 6, 7:28 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 64 points · 26 Nov 2024 – 28 Jan 2025 · axis zoomed to 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Nov 2024 | 94.0% |
| 28 Jan 2025 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 11.36K |
| kali19 | No | 100 |
| PolyDump | No | 40.01 |
| Snappy | No | 40 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent is confirmed as Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Bessent's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-trump-picks-will-be-confirmed
| person46 | Yes | 15.63 |
| themanager | No | 12.5 |
| Siwar | Yes | 8.65 |
| Tumper-730 | Yes | 7.93 |
| hetai | Yes | 5.79 |
| Threeeey | Yes | 3.14 |
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