Analytics
Resolved MaxPax on 6 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had MaxPax at 59.5%. The MaxPax side opened at 50% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 59.5% on 6 Mar 2026 and the low 50% on 5 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 59.5% on 6 Mar 2026.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 7, 1:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the MaxPax price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 5 Mar 2026 – 6 Mar 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–65%
| Observed | MaxPax price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | 59.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| eePpa2goAz | Spirit | 104 |
| HAANg4 | Spirit | 101 |
| pPC55YiCsy | Spirit | 93 |
| Golden Signal 221E | Spirit | 45.99 |
| SabrinaCarpenterlover11 | Spirit | 45.39 |
| daniarkk | Spirit | 10 |
| megamibattle | Spirit | 8.46 |
| uluck | Spirit | 6.54 |
| 0xxf | Spirit | 4.55 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the StarCraft II Upper bracket round 16 match between MaxPax and Spirit in the WardiTV Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 6 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MaxPax" if MaxPax win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against MaxPax. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution source: https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sc2-maxpax-spirit-2026-03-06
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