Analytics
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 16% on 18 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2024 to 28 Mar 2024, the highest close was 28% on 24 Mar 2024 and the lowest 16% on 18 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 25.5% on 19 Mar 2024. $166.93K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 18 Mar 2024 – 28 Mar 2024, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2024 | 16.0% |
| 28 Mar 2024 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 159.38K |
| 68D00B23d | Yes | 730 |
| GreatestStoryNeverTold | Yes | 696.9 |
| Legwade | Yes | 488 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-sbfs-sentence-be
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| BobbyBeauPeep | Yes | 107.14 |
| Yugi-Oh | Yes | 40 |
| WooMai | Yes | 19.23 |
| Lazarus-295 | Yes | 1 |
