
Resolved No on 28 Mar 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 87%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 18 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 18 Mar 2024 to 28 Mar 2024, the highest close was 13.5% on 18 Mar 2024 and the lowest 8.5% on 24 Mar 2024. $178.66K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 18 Mar 2024 – 28 Mar 2024, chart shows 6%–16%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2024 | 13.5% |
| 28 Mar 2024 | 13.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 159.38K |
| anon92 | Yes | 32.5K |
| Fortunate-Coincidence | Yes | 1.67K |
| oioiuo | Yes | 1.48K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-sbfs-sentence-be
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| Rick Sanchez | Yes | 300 |
| AlexanderJD | Yes | 161.44 |
| Yugi-Oh | Yes | 153.85 |
| stupiddude | Yes | 153.15 |
| Statoshi | Yes | 90.91 |
| Rizman | Yes | 76.92 |