Analytics
Resolved Yes on 12 Aug 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 10% on 28 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2023 to 12 Aug 2023, the highest close was 99.5% on 12 Aug 2023 and the lowest 7.5% on 29 Jul 2023. Its largest one-day move was 92 points up, to 99.5% on 12 Aug 2023. $3.54K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 9:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 28 Jul 2023 – 12 Aug 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2023 | 10.0% |
| 12 Aug 2023 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alwaysrekt | No | 157.71 |
| leoleoleoleo | Yes | 100 |
| edweirdo | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Bankman-Fried (SBF) spends any time in custody in a jail or prison between July 27 and August 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sbf-jail-by-august-31
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