Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 4 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 63 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 3.7% on 20 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 4 Nov 2024. $54.75K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 12:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 4 Sep 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2024 | 3.5% |
| 5 Nov 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| deep18 | Yes | 222.22 |
| ER01MM | Yes | 222.22 |
| bronie | No | 55 |
| Neon Pulse 4E46 | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if H.R.8281, known as the Safeguard American Voter Eligibility (SAVE) Act, becomes law by 11:59 PM ET on November 4, 2024. This market will also resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. federal legislation that has the effect of requiring individuals to provide documentary proof of U.S. citizenship to register to vote in federal elections becomes law between September 2, and November 4, 2024 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: The bill will be considered to have become law if it passes and is signed into law regardless of whether the provisions of the bill have gone into effect. For example, if a version of the SAVE Act that is scheduled to take effect in 2026 passes both houses of Congress and is signed into law by the President, this market will resolve to "Yes." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice to resolve this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/save-act-becomes-law-before-election
| 🔰LexFridman🔰 | No | 5 |
| Gadan7 | No | 0.05 |
| fhantombets | Yes | 0.01 |
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