
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 88.5%. Yes opened at 16% on 20 Dec 2023. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 20 Dec 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 50.5% on 28 Dec 2023 and the lowest 4.5% on 21 Dec 2023. Its largest one-day move was 46 points up, to 50.5% on 28 Dec 2023. $11.15K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 10:41 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 20 Dec 2023 – 1 Jan 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2023 | 16.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 11.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Orbitor | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Houthis announce they have agreed to a peace agreement between December 18 and December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Saudi Arabia, the Houthis, and/or the United Nations, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/saudi-arabia-and-yemeni-houthis-peace-deal-by-end-of-2023
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